Abstract

OLMEDO GONZALEZ, Hernán. Rusia-Ucrania: la nociva combinación que explica la guerra. Relac. int. [online]. 2023, vol.32, n.64, pp.39-58. ISSN 2314-2766.  http://dx.doi.org/https://doi.org/10.24215/23142766e162.

The objective of this article is to present empirical evidence on two propositions about the inter-state war between Russia and Ukraine. The first postulate claims that, at the very least, from 2013 to the present the Russia-Ukraine inter-state dyad has shown all the risk factors associated with the start of interstate wars. The second postulate puts forward that this war is the result of a mutation process from an internationalized intra-state war to an inter-state war. This study argues that both the risk factors and the mutation may be explained by a noxious combination: asymmetry of power between the member States participating in the conflict in the internationalized intra-state phase, with limited political power emerging in the inter-state dyad.

Keywords : Russia-Ukraine war; risks; mutation; asymmetry; power.

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