Resumo

ABAL MEDINA, Juan Manuel; CALVO, Ernesto; AJMECHET, Sabrina  e  RATTO, María Celeste. Government Survival and Political Regime in Argentina. Revista SAAP [online]. 2022, vol.16, n.1, pp.13-39.  Epub 06-Jun-2022. ISSN 1853-1970.  http://dx.doi.org/10.46468/rsaap.16.1.a1.

Argentine history has had long periods of institutional instability. In this article we try to evaluate some of the causes of this instability. The purpose of this article is to identify the factors that explain the variation in government survival in Argentina. This analyzes the set of presidents who governed the Argentine Republic from 1862 until the present, emphasizing the effect that the ways of access to power have on the longevity of governments. The results show different patterns that explain differences between the survival of presidents who came to office by popular vote and those rulers who acceded throughout other mechanisms. The latter register greater risks of bankruptcy when they assume the government, a situation that diminishes as the presidency goes on. On the other hand, the rulers who acceded by popular vote face the opposite situation: the risk increases along their mandates. Therefore, we can argue that the probabilities of replacement in governments with a different origin than electoral result from conflicts of interest that expressed their lack of legitimacy of origin and undermine their capacity to govern. On the contrary way, governments that results of electoral processes suffer from political erosion that occurs in the medium or long term.

Palavras-chave : Argentine; Government Survival; Political Regime; Parties; Democracy.

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